Roberto Duncan Picks






Roberto
Duncan

Associate Professor
of Economics


   

Curriculum Vitae

Education
  • Ph.D. in Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2010
  • Master of Arts in Economics, University of Chile, 2003
  • Licentiate in Economics, Pontifical Catholic University of Peru, 2000

Current position and affiliations

Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Ohio University, August 2016-

Master of Arts in Economics, Director, August 2019-

Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Ohio University, September 2010- July 2016

Research Associate, Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2012-

Associate Editor, Economía, September 2019-.

Articles in refereed journals

Forecasting Food Price Inflation during Global Crises, Journal of Forecasting, 2024. (coauthor: Patricia Toledo.)

Forecasting Inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?, Journal of Forecasting, 42(3), pp.481-513, 2023. (coauthor: Enrique Martínez-García.)

Flexible Average Inflation Targeting: How Much Is U.S. Monetary Policy Changing? Economia, August, 45(89): 102-149, 2022. (coauthors: Jarod Coulter and Enrique Martínez-García.)

New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment. International Journal of Forecasting, July-September, 35(3): 1008-1031, 2019. (coauthor: Enrique Martínez-García.)

Inequality in Body Mass Indices across Countries: Evidence from Convergence Tests. Economics & Human Biology, 33: 40-57, 2019. (coauthor: Patricia Toledo.)

Do Overweight and Obesity Prevalence Rates Converge in Europe? Research in Economics, 72(4): 482-493, 2018. (coauthor: Patricia Toledo.)

Long-run Overweight Levels and Convergence in Body Mass Index, Economics & Human Biology, 31: 26-39, 2018. (coauthor: Patricia Toledo.)

Do Good Institutions Promote Counter-cyclical Macroeconomic Policies?, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 78(5): 650-670, 2016. (coauthors: César Calderón, Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel.)

Does the US Current Account Show a Symmetric Behavior over the Business Cycle?, International Review of Economics and Finance, 41: 202-219, 2016.

A Simple Model to Teach Business Cycle Macroeconomics for Emerging Market and Developing Economies, Journal of Economic Education, 46(4): 394-402, 2015.

A Threshold Model of the US Current Account, Economic Modelling, 48: 270-280, 2015.

Institutional Quality, the Cyclicality of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Volatility, Journal of Macroeconomics, 39: 113-155, 2014.

Financial liberalization, Low World Interest Rates, and Global Imbalances: A Note with a Simple Two-Country Model, Applied Economics Letters, 21(14), 2014.

Regional Convergence in Chile: New Tests, Old Results, Latin American Journal of Economics (Cuadernos de Economía), 2006. (coauthor: Rodrigo Fuentes.)

The Role of Credibility in the Cyclical Properties of Macroeconomic Policies: Evidence for Emerging Economies. Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 4, 2004. (coauthors: César Calderón, Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel.)

The Role of Credibility on the Cyclical Behavior of Macroeconomic Policies: Evidence for Chile. Revista de Economía Chilena 6(3), Central Bank of Chile, December 2003. (in Spanish, coauthors: César Calderón, Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel.)

Purchasing Power Parity in Chile: A Long-Span Study. Estudios de Economía 30(1), 2003. University of Chile. (coauthor: César Calderón.)

Book chapters

On the Implications of a Unilateral Currency Union on Macroeconomic Volatility. In: Prospects for Monetary Unions after the Euro, edited by Paul De Grauwe and Jacques Melitz. The MIT Press, 2005

How Well Does a Monetary Dynamic Equilibrium Model Account for Chilean Data?. In: General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy, edited by R. Chumacero and K. Schmidt-Hebbel. Central Bank of Chile, 2005.

Working papers and work in progress

Tempting FAIT: Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and the Post-Covid U.S. Inflation Surge, 2024. (coauthors: Enrique Martínez-García and Luke Miller.)

Just Do IT? An Assessment of Inflation Targeting in a Global Comparative Case Study, 2024. (coauthors: Enrique Martínez-García and Patricia Toledo.)

Central Bank Predictions, Heterogeneous Expectations, and Inflation Dynamics, 2024. (coauthor: Enrique Martínez-García.)

Simple Models to Understand and Teach Business Cycle Macroeconomics in Developing and Emerging Economies, Peruvian Economic Association Working Paper No. 49 2015.

Other research and teaching experience

Visiting Professor, Master Program of Economics, Pontifical Catholic University of Peru (2012-2023). Courses/modules: Topics on Open Macroeconomics, Forecasting Methods and Forecast Evaluation, Economic Growth.

Visiting Professor, Master Program of Economics, Universidad del Pacífico, Peru (June 2011). Course: Forecasting Methods and Forecast Evaluation.

Lecturer of Statistics Measurement in Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Spring 2007.

Economist. Research Unit, Central Bank of Chile, 2001-2004.

Academic honors, awards and grants

LAS grant, Ohio University, 2014, 2015.

ITF grant, Ohio University, May 2011.

Harold Groves Economics Graduate Student Research paper award, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2006.

Awarded second place (Research Medal) in competition in the category of Financial Markets at the Conference Globalization and Equity, organized by the Global Development Network (GDN), Egypt, January 2003.

Best Graduate Student, M.A. in Economics, University of Chile, 2000.

Awarded second place in "Research Competition for Young Economists 2000-2001, organized by the Central Bank of Peru.

Department of Economics Fellowship, University of Chile, 1999-2000.

Awarded first place in "Research Competition for Young Economists 1999-2000, organized by the Central Bank of Peru.

   
Other professional activities

Memberships: American Economic Association, Peruvian Economic Association.

Reviewer of articles in academic journals: Contemporary Economic Policy, Economics Bulletin, Economics and Human Biology (2), Economic Modelling (3), Economic Systems, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Empirical Economics (2), Estudios de Economía (2), Fiscal Studies, German Economic Review, International Economics, Journal of Applied Economics, Journal of Forecasting, Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of Macroeconomics, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (5), Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Review of Economics and Statistics, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, World Development.

Reviewer of textbook manuscripts: McGraw-Hill, MIT Press (2), Springer, Pearson Education (2).

Member of the Advisory Group for Research Evaluation (2015-) and External Faculty Reviewer (for the Annual Competition of Research Projects 2018), Pontifical Catholic University of Peru.

LACEA 2019, 2022 Conferences, Program Committee member.

28th International Conference Computing in Economics and Finance (CEF 2022), Scientific Committee member.

Guest Co-Editor, Special Issue: Recent Developments in Inflation Dynamics (August, 2022).