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Research
Inflation dynamics and forecasting
Just Do IT? An Assessment of Inflation Targeting in a Global Comparative Case Study
(with Enrique Martínez-García and Patricia Toledo)
[Paper]
[Working paper]
Forecasting Food Price Inflation during Global Crises
(with Patricia Toledo; Journal of Forecasting)
[Article]
[Paper]
Tempting FAIT: Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and the Post-Covid U.S. Inflation Surge
(with Enrique Martínez-García and Luke Miller)
[Paper (soon)]
Central Bank Predictions, Heterogeneous Expectations, and Inflation Dynamics
(with Enrique Martínez-García)
[Paper (soon)]
Forecasting Inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?
(with Enrique Martínez-García; Journal of Forecasting)
[Article]
[Working paper]
Flexible Average Inflation Targeting: How Much Is U.S. Monetary Policy Changing?
(with Jarod Coulter and Enrique Martínez-García; Economia)
[Article]
[Working paper]
New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical
Assessment
(with Enrique Martínez-García; International Journal of Forecasting)
[Article]
[Working paper]
[My coauthor talking about the paper (video)]
[A VoxEU Post]
Development and Health Economics
Long-run Overweight Levels and Convergence in Body Mass Index
(with Patricia Toledo; Economics & Human Biology)
[Article]
[Paper]
Do Overweight and Obesity Prevalence Rates Converge in Europe?
(with Patricia Toledo; Research in Economics)
[Article]
[Paper]
Inequality in Body Mass Indices across Countries: Evidence from Convergence Tests
(with Patricia Toledo; Economics & Human Biology)
[Article]
[Paper]
Regional Convergence in Chile: New Tests, Old Results
(with Rodrigo Fuentes; Latin American Journal of Economics (Cuadernos de Economía))
[Article]
The Cyclicality of Macroeconomic Policies and Volatility
Do Good Institutions Promote Countercyclical Macroeconomic Policies?
(with César Calderón and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel; Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics)
[Article]
[Final version (includes Supplementary Appendix)]
Institutional Quality, the Cyclicality of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Volatility
(Journal of Macroeconomics)
[Article]
[Working paper version in Ideas]
[Supplementary Appendix]
A Simple Model to Teach Business Cycle Macroeconomics for Emerging Market and Developing Economies
(Journal of Economic Education)
[Article]
[Supplementary Appendix]
[Related Working Paper in Ideas]
The Role of Credibility in the Cyclical Properties of Macroeconomic Policies: Evidence for Emerging Economies
(with César Calderón and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel; Review of World Economics)
[Article]
[Working paper version in Ideas]
Global Imbalances and the US Current Account Deficit
Does the US Current Account Show a Symmetric Behavior over the Business Cycle?
(International Review of Economics and Finance)
[Article]
[Working paper version in Ideas]
A Threshold Model of the US Current Account
(Economic Modelling)
[Article]
[Working paper version in Ideas]
[An Econbrowser Post]
Financial Liberalization, Low World Interest Rates, and Global Imbalances: A Note with a Simple Two-Country Model
(Applied Economics Letters)
[Article]
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