Research
Inflation dynamics and forecasting
Just Do IT? An Assessment of Inflation Targeting in a Global Comparative Case Study
(with Enrique Martínez-García and Patricia Toledo)
Paper |
Video (NotebookLM Podcast Edit)
Forecasting Food Price Inflation during Global Crises
(with Patricia Toledo; Journal of Forecasting)
Article |
Paper
Tempting FAIT: Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and the Post-Covid U.S. Inflation Surge
(with Enrique Martínez-García and Luke Miller)
Paper (soon)
Central Bank Predictions, Heterogeneous Expectations, and Inflation Dynamics
(with Enrique Martínez-García)
Paper (soon)
Forecasting Inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do?
(with Enrique Martínez-García; Journal of Forecasting)
Article |
Working paper |
Supplementary materials
Flexible Average Inflation Targeting: How Much Is U.S. Monetary Policy Changing?
(with Jarod Coulter and Enrique Martínez-García; Economía)
Article |
Working paper
New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment
(with Enrique Martínez-García; International Journal of Forecasting)
Article |
Online appendix |
Working paper |
My coauthor talking about the paper (video) |
A VoxEU Post
Convergence in development and health indicators
Long-run Overweight Levels and Convergence in Body Mass Index
(with Patricia Toledo; Economics & Human Biology)
Article |
Paper
Do Overweight and Obesity Prevalence Rates Converge in Europe?
(with Patricia Toledo; Research in Economics)
Article |
Paper
Inequality in Body Mass Indices across Countries: Evidence from Convergence Tests
(with Patricia Toledo; Economics & Human Biology)
Article |
Paper
Regional Convergence in Chile: New Tests, Old Results
(with Rodrigo Fuentes; Latin American Journal of Economics (Cuadernos de Economía))
Article
The cyclicality of macro-policies and macroeconomic volatility
Do Good Institutions Promote Countercyclical Macroeconomic Policies?
(with César Calderón and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel; Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics)
Article |
Final version (includes Supplementary Appendix)
Institutional Quality, the Cyclicality of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Volatility
(Journal of Macroeconomics)
Article |
Working paper version in Ideas |
Supplementary Appendix
A Simple Model to Teach Business Cycle Macroeconomics for Emerging Market and Developing Economies
(Journal of Economic Education)
Article |
Supplementary Appendix |
Related Working Paper (Ideas)
The Role of Credibility in the Cyclical Properties of Macroeconomic Policies: Evidence for Emerging Economies
(with César Calderón and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel; Review of World Economics)
Article |
Working paper (Ideas)
Global imbalances and the US current account deficit
Does the US Current Account Show a Symmetric Behavior over the Business Cycle?
(International Review of Economics and Finance)
Article |
Working paper (Ideas)
A Threshold Model of the US Current Account
(Economic Modelling)
Article |
Working paper (Ideas) |
An Econbrowser Post
Financial Liberalization, Low World Interest Rates, and Global Imbalances: A Note with a Simple Two-Country Model
(Applied Economics Letters)
Article